PCE price index: how futures reacted
Latest check: 2026-10-13. Verify figures and dates on the agency's site.
What it is
The core PCE price index tracks consumer-price changes excluding food and energy and is produced by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. It is released monthly, usually at 08:30 ET; the official schedule is https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule/full.
Published by U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
When it comes out
- Usual time: 08:30 ET
- How often: monthly
- Next scheduled dates: Thu, Oct 29, 2026; Wed, Nov 25, 2026; Wed, Dec 23, 2026
- Official schedule: www.bea.gov/news/schedule/full
Past releases
| Date | Actual | Prior | Nasdaq (MNQ) | S&P 500 (MES) | Gold (MGC) | Crude (MCL) | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | 5 min | 30 min | 60 min | |||
| 2026-09-30 08:30 ET | 0.2 % m/m | 0.1 % m/m | +118.25 +0.39% | +91.75 +0.30% | +76.25 +0.25% | +22.00 +0.28% | +11.75 +0.15% | +8.75 +0.11% | +21.9 +0.52% | +15.1 +0.36% | -0.1 0.00% | -0.08 -0.09% | -0.05 -0.06% | +1.05 +1.16% |
| 2026-08-26 08:30 ET | 0.2 % m/m | 0.1 % m/m | -82.00 -0.28% | -106.25 -0.36% | -84.00 -0.29% | -12.25 -0.16% | -16.50 -0.21% | -17.25 -0.22% | -6.1 -0.13% | -15.3 -0.33% | -18.4 -0.39% | +0.02 +0.02% | +0.44 +0.55% | +0.48 +0.60% |
Moves are in index or price points from the price at the release time, with the percentage underneath. Markets: Nasdaq (MNQ), S&P 500 (MES), Gold (MGC), Crude (MCL). Actual and prior are first-print values in % m/m.
Typical reaction
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-08-26, Nasdaq (MNQ)'s median 30-minute move was 99 points (0.33%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-08-26, S&P 500 (MES)'s median 30-minute move was 14.13 points (0.18%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-08-26, Gold (MGC)'s median 30-minute move was 15.2 points (0.34%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
- Across the 2 releases since 2026-08-26, Crude (MCL)'s median 30-minute move was 0.25 points (0.31%). It was up 30 minutes later in 1 of 2.
| Market | Releases with data | Median absolute 30-min move | Higher | Lower |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq (MNQ) | 2 | 99 pts (0.33%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
| S&P 500 (MES) | 2 | 14.13 pts (0.18%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
| Gold (MGC) | 2 | 15.2 pts (0.34%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
| Crude (MCL) | 2 | 0.25 pts (0.31%) | 1 (50%) | 1 (50%) |
Computed only from our own one-minute prices, measured from the price at the release time. Small samples describe what happened; they do not describe what will happen.
Sources
- Personal Income and Outlays — July 2026 - checked 2026-10-13
https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-july-2026 - Personal Income and Outlays — August 2026 - checked 2026-10-13
https://www.bea.gov/news/2026/personal-income-and-outlays-august-2026 - BEA news release schedule - checked 2026-10-13
https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule/full